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In short, the four scenarios are:

  • 1. Best Case Scenario: A peaceful country…
  • 2. Status Quo: Many uncertainties, selective implementation of
    R-ARCSS, latent friction among the parties with top leadership of the country seemingly working in collaboration and ostensibly trying to implement reform and transformation agenda of R-ARCSS. However, this is done in accordance with their own vision…
  • Dictatorship: Selective or aborted implementation of the reform and transformation agenda initiated by R-ARCSS. Parliament is unable to provide space for the members to equally and freely participate and play the oversight role, freedom of speech, freedom of association and other liberties curtailed and inhibited. More repressive laws enacted. Widespread fear and intimidation used against ordinary citizens and other government officials…
  • Resumption of War: Full-fledged disagreement among the parties to the agreement, elections results clearly not credible..

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