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This paper describes four possible scenarios for the future of Sudan,defined by two key uncertainties: 1) In 2012, will Sudan be united or will the North and South have gone separate ways? 2) In 2012, will there be a new war between the North and the South, or will there be no war? Download

Since the Anglo-Egyptian colonial epoch (1898-1956), development in Sudan has mainly been based on large-scale projects, such as the Gezira Irrigation Scheme, Rahad Irrigation Scheme, Jonglei Canal, oil exploitation, Merowe Dam and rain-fed mechanized agricultural schemes. Without doubt, these projects, implemented in the name of the „national interest,‟ have benefited the country immensely. Nonetheless, it is also true that they have been associated with conflicts and displacement as people who feel marginalized resort to arms…

This report examines Sudan’s considerable history of elections, and asks why, despite the apparent success of 1953, multi-party elections have not so far produced the kind of stable yet dynamic government in Sudan that the secret ballot is intended to encourage. The report argues that failures of government should not be construed as evidence of any fundamental unsuitability of elections to Sudanese circumstances.

The purpose of this paper is to analyse the water policies of the Nile riparian states and their attendant consequences, including economic, environmental and social crises. From a holistic theoretical standpoint, the paper explores the distribution, redistribution and utilisation of Nile water by Egypt, Ethiopia and Sudan, and discusses their policies and strategies for further cooperation. Download

This study examines the role of traditional leadership during the upsurge of civil war in Southern Sudan. Download

This paper explores the PoC concept and the culture of protection in the context of Sudan. It addresses the protection discourse as perceived by various actors in the field, and approaches the discourse in the nexus of PoC and culture of protection. The present paper demonstrates that whereas a narrow definition of PoC runs the risk of repelling actors from the protection-agenda, mainstreaming a culture of protection drawing on wider principles seems worthwhile in order…

This report aims at assessing options for systemic conflict transformation in Southern Sudan. It was conducted in 2006/2007 by the Berghof Foundation for Peace Support (BFPS) on behalf of the German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ). Download

This paper presents the ethnic and ideological factors in the Sudan crisis as products of other processes, notably the strategies adopted by successive governments for managing the peripheries and the militarisation of society. It differs from many scholarly analyses in its emphasis on the importance of failed consolidation at the centre of power. The implication of the analysis is that Sudan faces possibly insuperable challenges in attempting to achieve democracy and a fair distribution of…

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